Racing and General Sports Tips - April to June 2024

[systemsman]

Bet 365 Gold Cup Sandown Saturday

In the end I have thrown my support behind my best weight adjusted RPR selections rather than just the nine key stats (ofcourse some were in both selective processes).


They are (Kitties Light is No1 but the others are in no order).William Hill prices at the time i am posting

Kittys Light 5/1


Threeunderthrufive 12/1


Nick Rockett 17/2


Minella Cocooner 8/1


Annual Invictus 16/1

The winner is likely to be 16/1 or less at the off.

[blaklion]

Apr 26, 2024 19:09:12 GMT seanyhillboy said:

Of the ones coming out well from some of the teams statistical/trend analysis, there’s none under 11st. How big a factor, if at all, does weight tend to play in this one?

3 of the last 10 carried 11st+, including 2 of the last 3. Can't elaborate much more than that because when I started doing my research I didn't think it looked strong enough either way to do a full analysis comparing the overall performance of those on 11+ against the rest. 3 of my 4 picks for this are also 11st+, the exception being Courtland (10-13) who despite shortening I still think looks the value bet of the race.

[systemsman]

Of the ones coming out well from some of the teams statistical/trend analysis, there’s none under 11st. How big a factor, if at all, does weight tend to play in this one?

Winners:
2022 11.04
2021 11.09
2016 10.12
2014 11.0
2012 11.12

And in the Grand National we had the top four over 11.00 !!

With good ground there is no reason (and on the price best profile of 16/1 or less) the winner should not be 11.00 or more.

[jj]

Final day picks...
1:50 Court In The Act
2:25 The Real Whacker
3:00 Jonbon
3:35 Le Milos, Amirite
4:10 Ballyadam

[Mike N]

Today's picks...

1.50 Be Aware ew 7 places, Steel Ally ew 7 places
2.25 Hitman insurebet 2 places
3.35 Kitty's Light 6-1 ew AP, Minella Cocooner 12-1 ew AP
3.00,4.10 El Fabiolo, Impaire Et Passe double
4.45 Nickle Back
5.20 Pic Roc ew 5 places

[superkeno13]

Final selections for the Bet365

Kitty's Light 8/1
Kinondo Kwetu 16/1
Courtland 66/1 (now down to 18/1)

Good luck all

[kj]

Hey all, here to watch the finale, nice picks superkeno. I'll pick Fire flyer rather last min in the first

[Mark B]

Bet 365 Gold Cup

Cashed out my original Kitty’s light bet.

And got 7 places at 5-1 instead.

Also on Amirite 13-2 each way. 5 places

Minella Cocooner 9-1 each way. 5 places

and a couple of small each ways on

Courtland 40-1 7 places

Flash Collenges 40-1 5 places.

So 5 chances !!!
Good luck all

[kj]

Looking at the result there, sires and pedigrees, it seems a bit wetter than true 'good' has it rained alot?

[sampy2]

Patrick Wadge's mum's the same colour as Secret Squirrel 😬 Sorry, bit mean

[Mike N]

Apr 27, 2024 13:07:21 GMT kj said:

Looking at the result there, sires and pedigrees, it seems a bit wetter than true 'good' has it rained alot?

Time was a quick one.

[kj]

Facing the wrong way a starter, such a joke.
Did you see the leg speed of that filly! Miss Cantik. They simply couldn't keep up. Not sure it should be described as a fluke, or steal. Fastest leg advantage. Pedigrees interesting, not sure I've seen as many blue larkspur heart genes. May be that's how she held on.
Truth in this race I can't pick it, was going Whacker, but think Hitman looked better in paddock.

[kj]

Another fantastic lady😉 others pretty disappointing. Hitman looked to be stalking but had absolutely nothing.

[Mike N]

Hitman might need his wind done again.

[kj]

Well done to Nicky and JonBon, I was behind him, but cripes, didn't alot of those horses look heavy at their jumps! A last day treat hopefully not marred by Elixier de nutz nasty fall